SportsHead

Market Intelligence for Sports Betting

SportsHead identifies historically favorable betting conditions across pregame and live markets — not predictions or guaranteed profit.

Pregame Price Quality — favorable price vs market forecast
Live Market State — repricing, settlement, and disagreement
Opportunity Pools — filter what you want to see
Forward Validation — public shadow and season proof

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How SportsHead works

SportsHead is not a prediction engine or AI pick service.
Two engines: Pregame Price Quality and Live Market State.
Use Opportunity Pools to filter favorable conditions you care about.
Forward validation tracks lane performance each season — not pick accuracy.

What am I looking at?

SportsHead watches pregame and live betting markets for historically favorable conditions.

Each opportunity is classified for context (not as a pick):

BUY — historically favorable
WATCH — developing or mixed
AVOID — historically unfavorable
SCANNING — no trusted state active yet

Game Board

Browse the board to understand the market. Use notifications to catch time-sensitive opportunities.

Free board: market awareness and line shopping. Premium: personalized market-state notifications.

SportsHead opportunities can decay quickly. Premium alerts are designed to surface them while there is still time to evaluate and act.

Search

Market Family

Presets

Strategy

Threshold —

Solo mode

Strategy: — Threshold: — Games scanned: — Candidates shown: —

Live View

Live edge feed

Edge transitions from live scoring (updates every 12s). New rows are highlighted until the next poll.

market_monitor — opportunity score crosses the live floor (board-style). favorite_discount — favorite side with discount vs consensus (stack threshold). price_dislocation — best-book implied vs consensus divergence. price_gravity — consensus move + gravity gap (stack thresholds).

Edge time	Edge	Side	Price	Book	Opp	Min from start
No edge transitions yet. Live Market / Candidates views populate the feed when sides upgrade.

Active movers

Board

Today's opportunities

Last updated: —

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Click a card for details, or use View Lines for book comparison.

Sport	Game	Game time	Side / Market	Odds	Book	Odds Band	Value	Market State	Action

How to read this board 86+ Strong value window 71+ Positive value 51+ Watch 31+ Neutral 0+ Poor value Value Score is a historical market-value alignment indicator (0–100). It is not a prediction or a guarantee.

Market activity (value distribution)

Value alignment across the current board, ranked highest first. Context only — not a ranking to act on.

Premium Coming soon — preview of upcoming tools

High conviction (derived subset)

Derived from the same global filters as the board above. Shows lines where stack_score ≥ 2 after apply_strategy(high_conviction_signal) — not the main opportunity list.

Game / side	Opp	Stack	Strat rank	Odds	Book	Why candidate
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Live Market Beta

All current live bets from `live_odds_current`.

Game	Start	Sides	Best Odds	Edge

Candidates Beta

Computed from `live_odds_current` + `live_odds_history` (lightweight).

Game	Side	Best Price	Book	Heat	Dispersion	Recent Move	Opportunity	Edge	Window	Why candidate

Arbitrage (H2H)

Click a row to see details

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Market Desk

A plain-language feed of what changed in the market — explanations, not bet selection. Full ticker coming soon.

Use Today, Live, or Pregame to browse current opportunities while Market Desk is in development.

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Market State Explorer

Discover classified market states behind the Live Market State engine. Legacy research view.

State	Class	Confidence	ROI	Bets	Density	DD
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Validation Lanes

Forward-validated engine lanes — historical simulation, not predictions. Legacy index API view.

My Index

Prototype — select states and preview projected performance. No persistence yet.

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Forward Validation

Public forward validation — season starts at 0% each season. Lanes without forward-shadow sample show Collecting Data, not 0% ROI.

State Leaderboard

Top BUY States

Top AVOID States

March Madness Royal Rumble

One bet per tournament game. Same starting bankroll. Highest bankroll at the end wins.

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How to join / sign in

First time joining: Open the app and go to the Royal Rumble section. Click “Join Tournament.” Enter the name you want to use (for example, “Sam”) and click Join. You are now in the tournament.

Returning on the same device or browser: You stay automatically recognized. Just open the app, go to Royal Rumble, and you’ll see the tournament with your bankroll and can place bets.

Using a different device or browser (phone, another computer, or incognito): There is no separate login. Do the following:

Open the app using the same URL.
Go to the Royal Rumble section.
Click “Join Tournament.”
Enter exactly the same name you used the first time.
Click Join.

The app will recognize that name and reconnect you to your tournament entry. You will see your bankroll and can continue placing bets.

Important: There are no passwords. Your name is your identity in the tournament, so always use the same name when joining from another device.

If you forget which name you used: There is currently no “forgot name” recovery. Use the same name consistently so you can access your entry from any device.

How to play

Goal: Finish with the highest bankroll. The last player standing—or the player with the highest bankroll when the tournament ends—wins.

Starting the tournament: Every player begins with the same starting bankroll: 1,000 units. This bankroll is used only for the tournament.

Betting (optional per game): Every NCAA tournament game is a required game (Round of 64, Round of 32, Sweet 16, Elite 8, Final Four, Championship). You may place one bet per game when odds are available; you are not eliminated for skipping a game (e.g. when odds are TBD). When you do bet, pick one side and bet at least the minimum stake for that round.

Minimum bets by round (example):

Round of 64 — 1 unit
Round of 32 — 2 units
Sweet 16 — 4 units
Elite 8 — 6 units
Final Four — 10 units
Championship — 15 units

When you can bet: You can place your bet any time before the game ends, including after tip-off.

Missing a game: You are no longer eliminated for skipping a game. Place bets when odds are available; you can skip games (e.g. when odds show TBD).

Auto-bet protection: To prevent accidental elimination, the app may place a fallback auto-bet if a game is about to end and you still haven’t bet. The fallback bet will use the minimum stake and choose the lowest-odds side. You can always place your own bet earlier instead.

Round survival check: Before each new round begins, the app checks whether your bankroll can cover the minimum bet for every game in that round. Example: next round has 8 games, minimum bet is 4 units per game — you must have at least 32 units to continue. If your bankroll is below the required amount, you are eliminated before the round begins.

Winning and losing: Bets work like normal sports bets: winning bets increase your bankroll, losing bets decrease it. You are eliminated if (1) you miss a game (no bet placed before it ends), or (2) your bankroll cannot cover the next round’s minimum bets.

Winning the tournament: At the end of March Madness, the player with the highest bankroll remaining wins. If only one player remains earlier, that player wins immediately.

Quick summary: Bet at least the minimum on every game before it ends and keep your bankroll high enough to survive the next round.

My Leagues

Bankroll Battle: March Madness Royal Rumble

Welcome to the Bankroll Battle: March Madness Royal Rumble.
Everyone starts with the same bankroll and the same board of tournament games. Real-time odds decide the payouts — make one pick per matchup and build the biggest stack before the final buzzer.
Last one standing is the winner.

Basic rules

Place exactly one bet on every game we require for your path—before that game ends—using at least the round minimum stake and no more than your current bankroll.
Winning bets pay at the decimal odds shown when you confirm (stake × decimal = units returned if you win).
Each round has a survival threshold: keep enough bankroll after your bets or you can be eliminated.
Miss a deadline and you may be auto-bet on a fallback side or eliminated—exact behavior is spelled out under How betting works below.

League Info

How betting works

One bet per required game. Pick a side at the listed decimal odds; stake must be at least the round minimum and cannot exceed your bankroll.

Decimal odds: The number is what you multiply your stake by if you win (total return). Higher decimal = bigger payout if that side wins; lower decimal = favorite / smaller payout.

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Round & Survival

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My Status

Tournament Board

Best price, right size, right side — required games only. No mixing with the general board.

Required Games (status)

Next Game To Bet

Settlement list

Result of each of your bets in this tournament.

Leaderboard

Rank	Player	Bankroll	Bets Made	Games Rem.	Status

Slates define time windows for picks. Create one to scope league play.

Game	Side	Best Price	Book	Window	Action	Explanation

User	Game	Side	Entry	Stake	Status	PnL

Rank	Player	Points	W	L	T	Total PnL	ROI%	Bankroll

Edge Lab runs the same metric stack as the live Opportunity Board. With "Use canonical backtest DB" checked, the server uses the single locked DB (e.g. sportshead_app/data/backtest/current.sqlite) on the compute worker.

Edge Lab data: …

Config

Quick Strategy Preset Sport Time window Bet cap (max picks/day) Wager mode

Advanced / micro-adjustments

Use canonical backtest DB Pack dir Market family Start date (optional) End date (optional) Min books Min dispersion Heat low Heat high Min opportunity Min decimal Max decimal

Window labels

Ranking

Strategy name (for comparison)

Date range—

Data source—

Bets—

Win Rate %—

ROI %—

PnL—

Avg implied prob %—

Edge (pp)—

Avg Opportunity—

Avg Heat—

Avg Value—

Avg Acceleration—

Max drawdown—

Max deployed—

Avg deployed—

Zoom: Drag on chart to zoom time range (X). Use Y+/Y− for vertical zoom.

Overview

Zoom: Drag on chart to zoom time range (X). Use Y+/Y− for vertical zoom.

Overview

Matchup	Side	Time	Best Price	Book	EV Proxy	EV edge	Heat	Value	Accel	Opportunity	Window	Strategy	Result	PnL

Run backtests with different configs, then click "Run & add to comparison". Strategy names are generated from config (or override in the name field). Click a legend item to show/hide that line. Remove selected to drop strategies from the comparison without clearing all.

☐	Strategy	Bets	Settled	Win Rate %	ROI %	PnL	Avg impl %	Edge (pp)	Max DD	Max Deployed	Avg Deployed	Avg Opp	Avg Heat

Zoom: Drag on chart to zoom time range (X). Use Y+/Y− for vertical zoom.

Past backtest runs (from this server). Deleting removes only the history row; it does not affect market data or canonical DBs.

Job ID	Created	Status	Strategy	Summary

Edge Discovery™ finds strategy/filter combinations. Start with Guided Discovery: pick sport and time window, then run a preset. Use Advanced Discovery for custom variable sweeps.

Guided Discovery — Start here

Sport Time window Start date End date

Presets

Morph Existing Strategy

Use a working strategy as seed and sweep only its native parameters (narrow bands). Same sport and time window above.

Strategy seed

Advanced Discovery — custom variable grid

Base strategy

Var 1

Var 2

Var 3

Minimum bets Rank by Max 500 combinations. Use fewer variables or narrower ranges if runs are slow.

Sort by

#	Strategy	Display name	Bets	PnL	ROI %	Stability	Win rate %	Max DD	Max deployed	Profit/bet

Market Intelligence for Sports Betting

How SportsHead works

What am I looking at?

World Cup Market Watch

Game Board

Today's Opportunities

Live edge feed

Replay Controls (Testing)

Replay debug

Solo alerts

Active movers

High conviction (derived subset)

Arbitrage (H2H)

Market Desk

Market State Explorer

Validation Lanes

My Index

Forward Validation

State Leaderboard

Top BUY States

Top AVOID States

Market Intelligence for Sports Betting

March Madness Royal Rumble

My Leagues

Bankroll Battle: March Madness Royal Rumble

Basic rules

League Info

How betting works

Round & Survival

My Status

Tournament Board

Required Games (status)

Next Game To Bet

Settlement list

Leaderboard

Guided Discovery — Start here

Morph Existing Strategy

Robustness (Bets vs ROI)

Parameter heat map

Market Intelligence for Sports Betting

How SportsHead works

What am I looking at?

World Cup Market Watch

Game Board

Today's Opportunities

Search and sport

Live edge feed

Solo alerts

Active movers

High conviction (derived subset)

Market Timeline

Arbitrage (H2H)

Market Desk

Market State Explorer

Validation Lanes

My Index

Forward Validation

State Leaderboard

Top BUY States

Top AVOID States

March Madness Royal Rumble

My Leagues

Create League

Join League

Join March Madness Royal Rumble

League Info

How betting works

Round & Survival

My Status

Tournament Board

Required Games (status)

Next Game To Bet

Settlement list

Leaderboard